• Константин Викторович КОШКИН Admiral Makarov National University of Shipbuilding, Mykolayiv, Ukraine
  • Александр Михайлович ВОЗНЫЙ Admiral Makarov National University of Shipbuilding, Mykolayiv, Ukraine
  • Наталья Ромуальдовна КНЫРИК Admiral Makarov National University of Shipbuilding, Mykolayiv, Ukraine



IT-project management, project model, simulation


The article analyzes the key success factors of IT-projects, which can be influenced. A key factor is the "optimization". Because of the complexity and non-linear dependence between the indicators, the use of any optimization models is not possible. In practice, the analysis is generally limited to a small number of key scenarios. Automation of the process is possible by means of optimization experiments based simulation. The work for this project proposed simulation model IT-companies, based on the principles of integration of system dynamics and cognitive modeling. Shown examples of experiments with model: simulation, optimization of the experiment, an experiment on the Monte Carlo method. Changes in parameter values when making the various administrative decisions has been analyzed. To perform scenario analysis for the input variables are determined by parameters that define their targets. With the help of optimization experiments, it is possible to find the values of model parameters under which the simulation results most closely match the specified data. The ways to adapt the input to achieve predictable results has been proposed.


Project Management Institute. (2013). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) Fifth Edition, 14 Campus Blvd., Newtown Square, PA 19073-3299 USA: Project Management Institute.

The Standish Group International. The CHAOS Manifesto 2013. Retrieved from

Voznyi O. M., Koshkin K. V., & Knyrik, N. R. (2015). Imitacionnoe modelirovanie IT-proektov na osnove setej Petri [Simulation modeling of IT projects based on Petri nets]. Visnyk NTU «HPI» - Bulletin NTU «KhPI», 1, 24–28 [in Russian].

Burkov V. N., Bushuyev S. D., Voznyi O. M., Gaida A. Y., Grygorian T. G., Ivanova A. A. «et al.» (2015). Upravlenie resursami raspredelennyh proektov i programm [Management of the distributed projects and programs resources]. Nikolaev: izdatel' Torubara V. V, 386 [in Russian].

Koshkin K. V., Voznyi A. M. & Knyrik N. R. (2014). Otsenka stsenariyev razvitiya organizatsionnykh sistem na osnove model'nykh eksperimentov [Scenario assessment of organizational systems development based on a model experiments]. Visnyk NTU «HPI». – Bulletin NTU «KhPI», 2, 24–28 [in Russian].

Kravchenko T. K. (2013). Upravlenie trebovanijami pri realizacii IT-proektov [Requirements management in the implementation of IT projects]. Biznes-informatika. – Biznes-informatika, 3, 63-71 [in Russian].

Vissija H., Krasnoproshin V. V., & Val'vachev A. N. (2008). Tehnologija vypolnenija IT-proektov kollektivami raspredelennyh ispolnitelej [Technology implementation IT project teams distributed performers] Iskusstvennyj intellekt. – Artificial Intelligence, 3, 63-69 [in Russian].

Sokolovskaja Z. N., & Jacenko N. V. (2013). Prikladnoe imitacionnoe modelirovanie kak analiticheskaja osnova prinjatija upravlencheskih reshenij [Application simulation as an analytical basis for management decision-making] Bіznesіnform. – Bіznesіnform, 6, 69-76. [in Russian].





Сборник научных статей